NOPERAH – AT 12:51 P.M. ET: The wanting of Oprah is wanting some wanting. Polls show her potential presidential candidacy lacks the voters to go with the hype. From The Politico:
Americans love Oprah Winfrey. But they aren’t exactly clamoring for the media mogul and former talk-show host to challenge President Donald Trump in 2020.
A majority of voters across several polls don’t think Winfrey should run for the White House, according to polls conducted since Winfrey’s much-heralded speech at a Hollywood awards show launched a round of presidential speculation. Even among Democratic voters, more say she shouldn’t run for president than should.
Still, there’s enough evidence to continue fueling speculation about her political prospects. Winfrey performs well on polling ballot tests, tying or leading Trump in a number of surveys. The POLITICO/Morning Consult poll shows Democratic voters prefer her to a host of other potential candidates — except former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.)
And despite the persistent disapproval of Trump’s job performance thus far, voters are still open to political neophytes as presidential candidates — though Democratic voters are more likely to say they want candidates with experience in elected office.
The topline result from the POLITICO/Morning Consult poll: Winfrey would lead Trump by 2 percentage points in a head-to-head matchup, 40 percent to 38 percent. More than one-in-five voters, 22 percent, are undecided.
Two points? That's nothing. If she can't lead him by 15 right now, she's probably toast.
Among Democrats, Winfrey would lead Trump, 73 percent to 9 percent. Trump has a similar advantage among Republicans, 76 percent to 11 percent. Independents tilt slightly toward Winfrey, 35 percent to 30 percent, with another 35 percent undecided.
COMMENT: Not a great showing for one of the most famous celebrities in the country. Maybe she should stick to talk shows and awards ceremonies.
The fact is that 2020 is many political lifetimes away. Nothing said now is of much meaning. The immediate issue is the 2018 midterms, and the Republicans have reason for concern. There's a good chance they will lose control of at least the House, and possibly the Senate as well. Then we will almost certainly see an attempt to impeach the president, and political blood will flow.
January 17, 2018 |